Dearness Allowance
is given twice a year in the months of January and July. The benefit of this
allowance is being enjoyed by both central and state government employees.
Every time when the
DA is given, there is an increasing curiosity among central and state
government employees to know in advance the DA that they will get the next
time. As everyone knows well, DA is calculated based on the increase of the
price of the essential commodities. Hence, the expectation of the central and
state government employees about the DA that they are going to get in the month
of July 2014 is quite reasonable.
AICPIN and DA
To calculate the DA
for July, we need the value of AICPIN. As of now, the value of AICPIN for only
3 months has come out. The table below shows the approximate AICPIN value for
the next three months and is calculated based on three different AICPIN values.
According to this calculation, the chance for getting a 6% DA seems more
probable but DA depends on the AICPIN value of the next three months.
The first table is calculated based on the AICPIN value of 239.
|
YEAR/MONTH
|
B.Y.2001=100
|
TOTAL OF 12 MONTH
|
12 MONTH AVERAGE
|
%INCREASE OVER 115.763
|
APP.DA
|
DA%
|
|
JAN-14
|
237
|
2802
|
233.5
|
117.74
|
101.7
|
|
|
FEB-14
|
238
|
2817
|
234.75
|
118.99
|
102.78
|
|
|
MAR-14
|
239
|
2832
|
236
|
120.24
|
103.86
|
|
|
APRIL-14
|
239(EXPECTED)
|
2845
|
237.08
|
121.32
|
104.8
|
|
|
MAY-14
|
239(EXPECTED)
|
2856
|
238
|
122.24
|
105.59
|
|
|
JUN-14
|
239(EXPECTED)
|
2864
|
238.67
|
122.9
|
106.17
|
106
|
From the above table, we can see that if the AICPIN value
continues as 239, the DA may rise to 6%. Moreover, if the AICPIN value for the
next two months remains as 238, the DA may rise to 6%. If AICPIN value stays as
238 for the next three months, we may get a 5% DA. But chances for AICPIN value
to remain at 238 are lesser.
In the second table, you can see
that if the AICPIN value of 240 if increased by 1 point gives a DA of 6%. If
the AICPIN value for the next two months continues to be 238, a DA value of 6%
will not come down.
|
YEAR/MONTH
|
B.Y.2001=100
|
TOTAL OF 12 MONTH
|
12 MONTH AVERAGE
|
%INCREASE OVER 115.763
|
APP.DA
|
DA%
|
|
JAN-14
|
237
|
2802
|
233.5
|
117.74
|
101.7
|
|
|
FEB-14
|
238
|
2817
|
234.75
|
118.99
|
102.78
|
|
|
MAR-14
|
239
|
2832
|
236
|
120.24
|
103.86
|
|
|
APRIL-14
|
240(EXPECTED)
|
2846
|
237.17
|
121.4
|
104.87
|
|
|
MAY-14
|
240(EXPECTED)
|
2858
|
238.17
|
122.4
|
105.74
|
|
|
JUN-14
|
240(EXPECTED)
|
2867
|
238.92
|
123.95
|
106.38
|
106
|
Even though the third table is calculated on an AICPIN value of
241, the DA rise is only 6%.
|
YEAR/MONTH
|
B.Y.2001=100
|
TOTAL OF 12 MONTH
|
12 MONTH AVERAGE
|
%INCREASE OVER 115.763
|
APP.DA
|
DA%
|
|
JAN-14
|
237
|
2802
|
233.5
|
117.74
|
101.7
|
|
|
FEB-14
|
238
|
2817
|
234.75
|
118.99
|
102.78
|
|
|
MAR-14
|
239
|
2832
|
236
|
120.24
|
103.86
|
|
|
APRIL-14
|
241(EXPECTED)
|
2847
|
237.25
|
121.49
|
104.87
|
|
|
MAY-14
|
241(EXPECTED)
|
2860
|
238.33
|
122.57
|
105.74
|
|
|
JUN-14
|
241(EXPECTED)
|
2870
|
239.17
|
123.4
|
106.6
|
106
|
The third table
above shows that the 6% DA may rise. So expected da from july 2014 is 6
percentage
The DA that we will
get in July 2014 will be more than the basic pay.
Source: http://www.govtempdiary.com/2014/05/expected-da-from-july-2014-possibility-of-increase-of-da-by-6/
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